APOP screening: 90 day mortality in older patients - Evidencio
APOP screening: 90 day mortality in older patients
Older patients experience high rates of adverse outcomes after an emergency department (ED) visit. Early identification of those at high risk could guide preventive interventions and tailored treatment decisions, but available models perform poorly in discriminating those at highest risk. The present study aims to develop and validate a prediction model for functional decline and mortality in older patients presenting to the ED.

Note: For the use of the APOP screening tool, we advise to use the composite model to calculate both the mortality and the functional decline in a single model. 
Research authors: J. de Gelder, J.A. Lucke, B. de Groot, A.J. Fogteloo, S. Anten, K. Mesri, E.W. Steyerberg, C. Heringhaus, G.J. Blauw, S.P. Mooijaart
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The calculated mortality risk within 3 months is:

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Current model is one of the outcomes of the APOP study. APOP stands for Acutely Presenting Older Patient. Current model predicts the probability of death within 90 days in elderly patients presenting at the emergency department. 

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Current model is developed in the LUMC hospital and validated in the Alrijne hospital. No further validation has been performed outside these hospitals. 

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